The School of Odds
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Hapoel Tel Aviv v Anadolu Efes

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 18:00 UTC

Final: Hapoel Tel Aviv 118–88 Anadolu Efes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local)

Prediction 69.93%1.43fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.989%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.00%69.83%70.02%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.361.361.4178.13%73.64%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anadolu Efes (Visit)

Prediction 30.07%3.33fair odd
EV +5.23%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +2.09%
Growth +0.110%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%30.17%29.98%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.083.103.5037.74%32.49%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hapoel Tel Aviv (Local): 69.93%; Anadolu Efes (Visit): 30.07%. For Anadolu Efes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.23%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
picklebet_au🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +5.23%E +1.50%K +2.09%G +0.110%5.5%2026-10-28 17:59
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -8.39%E -6.40%K -27.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +2.23%E +0.655%K +0.928%G +0.021%5.7%2026-10-28 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV +0.423%E +0.127%K +0.181%G +0.001%4.0%2026-10-28 17:59
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.780%E -0.236%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-28 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.780%E -0.236%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-28 17:55
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -10.49%E -8.19%K -37.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -0.780%E -0.236%K -0.339%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-28 15:10
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.41%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.59%EV -1.98%E -0.608%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-28 17:34
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.28%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-28 17:05
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.28%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-28 17:38
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.28%E -0.703%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 17:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -2.58%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-28 17:55
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.39%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-28 17:55
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 17:55
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -5.59%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-28 17:55
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 14:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 17:54
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 17:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.79%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -7.39%E -2.40%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 17:55
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -10.40%E -3.49%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:54
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -11.00%E -3.72%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-28 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-28 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -1.39%E -0.989%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -1.39%E -0.989%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -1.39%E -0.989%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -1.39%E -0.989%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -1.39%E -0.989%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -1.39%E -0.989%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -1.39%E -0.989%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 17:55
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.09%E -1.50%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -14.31%E -5.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.09%E -1.50%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -14.31%E -5.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -18.82%E -6.97%K -11.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-28 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.26%EV -9.79%E -7.59%K -33.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.74%EV -20.32%E -7.67%K -12.32%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-28 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-10-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-10-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-10-28 17:55
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-10-28 17:50
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-10-28 17:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.90%11.5%2026-10-28 15:10

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