Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fenerbahce SK v Žalgiris

2026-10-13 17:45 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fenerbahce SK (Local)

Prediction 69.60%1.44fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -3.39%
Kelly -12.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.01%69.51%69.60%70.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.351.3778.13%74.35%73.80%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Žalgiris (Visit)

Prediction 30.40%3.29fair odd
EV +0.631%
Edge +0.191%
Kelly +0.273%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.12%30.49%30.40%32.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.603.043.053.3138.46%32.86%32.79%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fenerbahce SK (Local): 69.60%; Žalgiris (Visit): 30.40%. For Žalgiris (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.31, producing a positive expected value of +0.631%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV +0.631%E +0.191%K +0.273%G +0.002%3.7%2026-10-05 08:05
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 08:10
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 07:50
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.53%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -4.54%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 07:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.65%E -3.39%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 07:49
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 07:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.04%E -4.48%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-05 07:49
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 07:50
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.04%E -4.48%K -17.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 07:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 67.01%EV -10.91%E -8.53%K -38.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.99%EV -20.95%E -8.06%K -13.10%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-05 07:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 09:00