Language:English
Fenerbahce SK v Žalgiris
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fenerbahce SK (Local)
Prediction 72.54%1.38fair odd
EV +0.111%
Edge +0.080%
Kelly +0.292%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.38%72.49%72.49%74.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.311.3880.00%76.31%76.34%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Žalgiris (Visit)
Prediction 27.46%3.64fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +0.789%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%27.51%27.51%32.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.383.403.7535.09%29.61%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce SK (Local): 72.54%; Žalgiris (Visit): 27.46%. For Žalgiris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.96%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -8.59%E -6.82%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +2.96%E +0.789%K +1.08%G +0.032% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.64%EV -4.97%E -3.79%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.36%EV +0.488%E +0.133%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-10-13 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.97%E -3.79%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.336%E -0.092%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-13 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.97%E -3.79%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.336%E -0.092%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-13 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-13 17:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.97%E -3.79%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 17:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.59%E -6.82%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -1.16%E -0.322%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-13 13:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.97%E -3.79%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.53%E -0.713%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 17:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 17:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 17:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 16:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 16:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 15:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 15:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.32%E -7.46%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-13 13:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -5.83%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 17:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.10%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-13 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.42%E -4.98%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-13 16:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.42%E -4.98%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-13 10:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -1.34%E -0.985%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -8.85%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-13 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.02%EV -6.42%E -4.98%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.98%EV -8.85%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-13 17:03 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.52%E -2.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 08:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.52%E -2.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 08:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.52%E -2.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 08:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.52%E -2.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.52%E -2.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.52%E -2.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 08:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.52%E -2.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 08:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 08:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.97%E -3.79%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-13 10:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-13 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-13 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-13 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.34%E -0.985%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 10:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-13 17:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.51%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-13 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -9.32%E -7.46%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-13 08:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.52%E -2.64%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.63%E -5.88%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-13 10:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +0.111%E +0.080%K +0.292%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -21.75%E -7.63%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-13 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +0.111%E +0.080%K +0.292%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -21.75%E -7.63%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-13 10:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-10-13 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98% | 3.0% | 2026-10-13 17:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.98% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.98% | 11.4% | 2026-10-13 15:25 |