Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fenerbahce SK v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 17:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fenerbahce SK (Local)

Prediction 71.56%1.40fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -7.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.30%71.55%71.58%73.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.321.321.3679.37%75.77%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit)

Prediction 28.44%3.52fair odd
EV +0.964%
Edge +0.272%
Kelly +0.378%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%28.45%28.42%31.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.933.323.333.5534.13%30.09%29.99%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce SK (Local): 71.56%; Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit): 28.44%. For Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.964%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.964%E +0.272%K +0.378%G +0.004%5.1%2026-03-20 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.964%E +0.272%K +0.378%G +0.004%5.1%2026-03-20 17:40
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.964%E +0.272%K +0.378%G +0.004%5.1%2026-03-20 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.964%E +0.272%K +0.378%G +0.004%5.1%2026-03-20 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.964%E +0.272%K +0.378%G +0.004%5.1%2026-03-20 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.964%E +0.272%K +0.378%G +0.004%5.1%2026-03-20 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.964%E +0.272%K +0.378%G +0.004%5.1%2026-03-20 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.458%E -0.131%K -0.183%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 14:15
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.69%E -5.96%K -26.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.458%E -0.131%K -0.183%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.83%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.88%E -0.545%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 12:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.83%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.88%E -0.545%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 12:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.54%E -4.20%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.88%E -0.545%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.88%E -0.545%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 17:25
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.54%E -4.20%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -2.73%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.11%E -3.07%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.83%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 14:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.54%E -4.20%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 17:39
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.54%E -4.20%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.54%E -4.20%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.69%E -5.96%K -26.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 12:30
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -3.39%E -2.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -4.16%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 15:39
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -3.39%E -2.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -4.16%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 17:30
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.39%E -2.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 12:09
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.11%E -3.07%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 17:40
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.83%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.83%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.83%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 11:49
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.26%E -4.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.26%E -4.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 07:40
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.99%EV -8.40%E -6.57%K -30.01%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.01%EV -6.43%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 11:30
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 08:34
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.39%E -2.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 13:57
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.97%E -5.36%K -23.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.69%E -5.96%K -26.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 07:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 12:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.52%EV -7.69%E -5.96%K -26.51%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.48%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 17:34
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 11:29
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.83%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 16:45
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.11%E -3.07%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 13:54
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.83%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 11:29
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.83%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 13:49
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.83%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.83%E -3.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 11:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.42%EV -9.84%E -7.81%K -37.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-20 07:39
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.30%EV -2.68%E -1.97%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.70%EV -16.67%E -5.69%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-03-20 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-03-20 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-03-20 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-03-20 17:35
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-03-20 17:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.96%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%11.4%2026-03-20 11:30