默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fenerbahce SK v KK Partizan NIS

开赛时间： 2026-02-25 17:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

81%

19%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fenerbahce SK (主队)

预测 80.81%1.24公平赔率

EV -1.42%

优势 -1.16%

Kelly -6.44%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.22

博彩公司预测分布

77.72%80.65%80.95%82.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.121.181.181.2289.29%85.04%84.75%81.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

KK Partizan NIS (客队)

预测 19.19%5.21公平赔率

EV +1.73%

优势 +0.326%

Kelly +0.402%

增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 5.30

博彩公司预测分布

17.58%19.35%19.05%22.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

4.154.794.905.3024.10%20.86%20.41%18.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fenerbahce SK (主队)：80.81%；KK Partizan NIS (客队)：19.19%。对于“KK Partizan NIS (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.21。当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.30，对应+1.73%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +1.73%E +0.326%K +0.402%G +0.007%	4.3%	2026-02-25 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.769%E +0.146%K +0.181%G +0.001%	4.5%	2026-02-25 17:24
NordicBet🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +0.769%E +0.146%K +0.181%G +0.001%	5.3%	2026-02-25 16:45
Betsson🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +0.769%E +0.146%K +0.181%G +0.001%	5.3%	2026-02-25 16:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -9.50%E -8.48%K -79.14%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +0.769%E +0.146%K +0.181%G +0.001%	8.3%	2026-02-25 12:04
LowVig.ag🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.15%E -0.223%K -0.277%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-02-25 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.15%E -0.223%K -0.277%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-02-25 13:45
FanDuel🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -2.11%E -0.414%K -0.515%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-25 17:40
Betway🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-25 17:39
SportsBet🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-25 17:39
GTbets🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-25 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-25 09:10
Fanatics🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.15%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-25 16:45
Paddy Power🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.88%E -6.91%K -56.29%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-25 12:30
BoyleSports🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.88%E -6.91%K -56.29%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-25 09:15
William Hill🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.84%E -3.23%K -20.22%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-02-25 12:09
Unibet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-25 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-25 17:40
BetRivers🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-25 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-25 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-25 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-25 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-25 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.15%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-02-25 17:25
Coolbet🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.84%E -3.23%K -20.22%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.87%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.87%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-25 17:39
TABtouch🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.87%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-25 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.15%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.87%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-25 17:34
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.15%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.87%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-25 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.15%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.87%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-25 17:28
Everygame🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.83%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-25 08:58
Pinnacle🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.60%EV -2.22%E -1.84%K -10.59%G +0.000%	4.72I 21.19%NM 20.40%EV -9.40%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-02-25 17:35
DraftKings🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -2.22%E -1.84%K -10.59%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -9.79%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-02-25 17:20
1xBet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%EV -1.42%E -1.16%K -6.44%G +0.000%	4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%EV -11.13%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-02-25 14:05
Bovada🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.42%E -1.16%K -6.44%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -13.63%E -3.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-02-25 17:39
BetMGM🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.22%E -1.84%K -10.59%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.63%E -3.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 12:00
888sport🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.63%E -3.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-25 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.63%E -3.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-25 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.63%E -3.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-25 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -1.42%E -1.16%K -6.44%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -14.59%E -3.28%K -4.23%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-02-25 17:39
PlayUp🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.03%E -2.53%K -15.16%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -18.43%E -4.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-02-25 17:39
TAB🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.03%E -2.53%K -15.16%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -19.38%E -4.62%K -6.06%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-25 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -19.38%E -4.62%K -6.06%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-02-25 12:00
Coral🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -19.38%E -4.62%K -6.06%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-02-25 12:00
Neds🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -19.38%E -4.62%K -6.06%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-02-25 12:00
BetUS🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 77.72%EV -3.84%E -3.23%K -20.22%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -20.34%E -4.90%K -6.46%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-25 17:29

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%	5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%	1.2%	2026-02-25 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%	5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%	1.2%	2026-02-25 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%	5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%	1.2%	2026-02-25 17:40
Smarkets◎	1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%	2.6%	2026-02-25 17:40
Matchbook◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%	4.4%	2026-02-25 17:40

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 75.20%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%	19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%	10.8%	2026-02-25 12:40