L’École des cotesFrançais
Fenerbahce SK v KK Partizan NIS
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fenerbahce SK (Local)
Prévision 80.81%1.24cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -6.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.72%80.65%80.95%82.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.181.181.2289.29%85.04%84.75%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
KK Partizan NIS (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.19%5.21cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.326%
Kelly +0.402%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 5.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.58%19.35%19.05%22.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.154.794.905.3024.10%20.86%20.41%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +1.73%E +0.326%K +0.402%G +0.007% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.769%E +0.146%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +0.769%E +0.146%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 16:45 |
| Betsson | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +0.769%E +0.146%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 16:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -9.50%E -8.48%K -79.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +0.769%E +0.146%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 12:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.15%E -0.223%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.15%E -0.223%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 13:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -2.11%E -0.414%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 17:40 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| GTbets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.27%E -5.40%K -39.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 09:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 16:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.88%E -6.91%K -56.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 12:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.88%E -6.91%K -56.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.03%E -0.806%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 09:15 |
| William Hill | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.84%E -3.23%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 12:09 |
| Unibet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 17:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-25 17:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.84%E -3.23%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.87%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.87%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.87%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.87%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.87%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 17:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.87%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 17:28 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.83%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 08:58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.60%EV -2.22%E -1.84%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.40%EV -9.40%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 17:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -2.22%E -1.84%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -9.79%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 17:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%EV -1.42%E -1.16%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%EV -11.13%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-25 14:05 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.42%E -1.16%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -13.63%E -3.03%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.22%E -1.84%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -13.63%E -3.03%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 12:00 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.63%E -3.03%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.63%E -3.03%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.46%E -4.66%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.63%E -3.03%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -1.42%E -1.16%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -14.59%E -3.28%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.03%E -2.53%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -18.43%E -4.34%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 17:39 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.03%E -2.53%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -19.38%E -4.62%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -19.38%E -4.62%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-25 12:00 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -19.38%E -4.62%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-25 12:00 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.65%E -3.94%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -19.38%E -4.62%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-25 12:00 |
| BetUS | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.72%EV -3.84%E -3.23%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -20.34%E -4.90%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 17:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-02-25 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-02-25 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-02-25 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75% | 2.6% | 2026-02-25 17:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 17:40 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75% | 10.8% | 2026-02-25 12:40 |