Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.25
assuming max odds 5.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce SK (Local): 80.52%; KK Partizan NIS (Visit): 19.48%. For KK Partizan NIS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.12%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.20%E -7.20%K -58.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +7.12%E +1.30%K +1.58%G +0.113% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -4.18%E -3.51%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +1.28%E +0.246%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 3.3% | 2026-10-15 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -7.40%E -6.43%K -49.32%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -0.668%E -0.131%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-15 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.18%E -3.51%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.62%E -0.523%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.18%E -3.51%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.62%E -0.523%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.18%E -3.51%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -2.62%E -0.523%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.98%E -4.22%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.62%E -0.523%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.79%E -4.95%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.62%E -0.523%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.79%E -4.95%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.62%E -0.523%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 17:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.79%E -4.95%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.62%E -0.523%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.79%E -4.95%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.62%E -0.523%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.20%E -7.20%K -58.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.62%E -0.523%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 13:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.20%E -7.20%K -58.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.62%E -0.523%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.36%EV -3.37%E -2.81%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.64%EV -4.37%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-15 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.40%E -6.43%K -49.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -4.56%E -0.931%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-15 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.37%E -2.81%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -6.51%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-15 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.18%E -3.51%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -6.51%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-15 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.98%E -4.22%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.51%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.98%E -4.22%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.51%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.98%E -4.22%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.51%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.98%E -4.22%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.51%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.37%E -2.81%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.48%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-15 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.79%E -4.95%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.48%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%EV -1.76%E -1.44%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%EV -9.82%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-15 17:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.59%E -5.68%K -41.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.41%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 17:25 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.59%E -5.68%K -41.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.41%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 17:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.59%E -5.68%K -41.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -10.41%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 17:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.79%EV -6.59%E -5.68%K -41.21%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.21%EV -10.80%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-15 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.37%E -2.81%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.35%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.37%E -2.81%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.35%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.37%E -2.81%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.35%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.37%E -2.81%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.35%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.37%E -2.81%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.35%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.37%E -2.81%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.35%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.37%E -2.81%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.35%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.18%E -3.51%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.35%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-15 16:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.18%E -3.51%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.35%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.18%E -3.51%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -15.28%E -3.51%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-15 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.37%E -2.81%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.20%E -4.33%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-15 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -9.01%E -7.97%K -69.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -18.20%E -4.33%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.76%EV -4.18%E -3.51%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.24%EV -18.98%E -4.56%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-15 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV +0.654%E +0.523%K +2.62%G +0.017% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -22.09%E -5.52%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -8.20%E -7.20%K -58.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -22.09%E -5.52%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-15 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -1.76%E -1.44%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -26.96%E -7.19%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-15 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -0.151%E -0.122%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -27.94%E -7.55%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -0.151%E -0.122%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -27.94%E -7.55%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 17:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-10-15 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-10-15 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-10-15 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93% | 3.3% | 2026-10-15 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 17:40 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97% | 11.7% | 2026-10-15 17:05 |