Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.52
assuming max odds 2.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce SK (Local): 63.68%; Dubai Basketball (Visit): 36.32%. For Dubai Basketball (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.753. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.750, with an expected value of -0.116%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.38%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.38%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -4.11%E -1.56%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -10.29%E -4.16%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.84%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 15:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 17:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.75%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.12%E -3.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.02%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.75%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.75%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -6.65%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.74%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -7.02%E -2.74%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.03%E -4.81%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -7.03%E -4.81%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV -3.02%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.03%E -4.81%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 17:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.03%E -4.81%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-02 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 14:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.66%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.34%EV -7.74%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 17:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.116%E -0.042%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.116%E -0.042%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.116%E -0.042%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.116%E -0.042%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.84%E -1.85%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-02 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.93%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -13.40%E -9.85%K -37.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 0.4% | 2026-10-02 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-10-02 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-10-02 17:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 1.5% | 2026-10-02 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.7% | 2026-10-02 17:20 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93% | 11.0% | 2026-10-01 17:55 |