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Fenerbahce SK v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne

2026-11-17 18:00 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fenerbahce SK (Local)

Prediction 79.93%1.25fair odd
EV -4.89%
Edge -4.11%
Kelly -25.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.69%79.60%79.97%81.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.171.181.1989.29%85.47%84.75%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit)

Prediction 20.07%4.98fair odd
EV +3.58%
Edge +0.694%
Kelly +0.860%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 5.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.74%20.40%20.03%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.584.655.1627.03%21.84%21.51%19.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fenerbahce SK (Local): 79.93%; ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit): 20.07%. For ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.98. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.16, producing a positive expected value of +3.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.26%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.72%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.74%EV +3.58%E +0.694%K +0.860%G +0.031%3.4%2026-11-12 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.368%E +0.074%K +0.092%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-12 18:40
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.65%E -0.760%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-12 18:40
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.65%E -0.760%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-12 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.65%E -0.760%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-12 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.65%E -0.760%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-12 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.65%E -0.760%K -0.960%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-12 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.65%E -0.979%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-12 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.49%E -5.54%K -38.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -6.66%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-12 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-12 18:39
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-12 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.49%E -5.54%K -38.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-12 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.49%E -5.54%K -38.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-12 18:37
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.49%E -5.54%K -38.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-12 18:39
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -6.49%E -5.54%K -38.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -13.08%E -3.02%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-12 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 76.69%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.31%EV -24.72%E -6.59%K -8.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-12 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.76%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -25.73%E -6.95%K -9.53%G +0.000%16.3%2026-11-12 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-11-12 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-11-12 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-11-12 19:20

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