Language:English
FC Bayern München v KK Partizan NIS
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Bayern München (Local)
Prediction 61.44%1.63fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%61.45%61.57%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.531.531.6069.93%65.42%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
KK Partizan NIS (Visit)
Prediction 38.56%2.59fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.55%38.43%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.462.482.5042.55%40.64%40.32%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Bayern München (Local): 61.44%; KK Partizan NIS (Visit): 38.56%. For FC Bayern München (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.60, with an expected value of -1.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -1.69%E -1.06%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -6.31%E -2.60%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-02 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-02 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -7.08%E -2.94%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.92%E -1.85%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 12:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 17:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -4.15%E -2.66%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -8.62%E -3.64%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 12:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.76%E -3.07%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.38%E -3.49%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 10:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 10:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 02:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.53%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.53%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.99%E -3.92%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 06:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.61%E -4.35%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.61%E -4.35%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -6.61%E -4.35%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -3.99%E -1.60%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 21:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.61%E -4.35%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.53%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.61%E -4.35%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.53%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 15:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -6.61%E -4.35%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.38%EV -5.92%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.61%E -4.35%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.22%E -4.78%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.22%E -4.78%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 01:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.22%E -4.78%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.22%E -4.78%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.22%E -4.78%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 01:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.22%E -4.78%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.22%E -4.78%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -7.22%E -4.78%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -7.85%E -3.28%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.84%E -5.22%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.84%E -5.22%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.61%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.06%E -6.12%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -5.53%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.06%E -6.12%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-01 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.06%E -6.12%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-01 15:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -12.14%E -8.49%K -28.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.14% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.86% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.28% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43% | 12.2% | 2026-10-01 15:45 |