The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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FC Bayern München v FC Barcelona Bàsquet

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 19:00 UTC

Final: FC Bayern München 84–88 FC Barcelona Bàsquet

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Bayern München (Local)

Prediction 50.50%1.98fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.783%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.79%50.53%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.861.871.9557.80%53.77%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit)

Prediction 49.50%2.02fair odd
EV +6.43%
Edge +2.99%
Kelly +5.59%
Growth +0.359%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%49.21%49.47%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.911.912.1557.14%52.33%52.36%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Bayern München (Local): 50.50%; FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit): 49.50%. For FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.43%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -12.13%E -6.97%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +6.43%E +2.99%K +5.59%G +0.359%4.0%2026-10-27 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -10.62%E -6.00%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +3.95%E +1.88%K +3.59%G +0.142%4.1%2026-10-27 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -8.60%E -4.75%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV +1.97%E +0.957%K +1.86%G +0.037%3.8%2026-10-27 18:55
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.10%E -5.06%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.48%E +0.720%K +1.41%G +0.021%4.3%2026-10-27 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -7.08%E -3.85%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -0.998%E -0.499%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.97%E -2.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-27 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.56%E -2.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-27 14:40
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -1.53%E -0.783%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-27 18:50
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.56%E -2.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 16:40
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.06%E -2.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 07:15
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.06%E -2.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 07:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.06%E -2.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.06%E -2.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.06%E -2.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.06%E -2.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.06%E -2.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.06%E -2.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -10.11%E -5.68%K -12.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 15:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.86%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 14:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.86%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.86%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.86%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 14:10
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.86%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-27 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.45%E -2.86%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.45%E -2.86%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 18:50
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.59%E -4.15%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.45%E -2.86%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.59%E -4.15%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.45%E -2.86%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 07:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -2.54%E -1.31%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 18:17
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.07%E -3.26%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 07:15
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.07%E -3.26%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 18:50
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.58%E -3.55%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 13:00
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.58%E -3.55%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 07:15
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.58%E -3.55%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:50
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -7.08%E -3.85%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.53%E -0.783%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.43%E -3.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-27 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 19:05
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:50
picklebet_au🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.08%E -3.85%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -7.43%E -3.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 18:17
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.08%E -3.85%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -7.43%E -3.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 07:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -9.41%E -5.14%K -11.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-27 18:49
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -9.41%E -5.14%K -11.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-27 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.15%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.41%E -5.14%K -11.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-27 06:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.58%E -3.55%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.90%E -6.05%K -13.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.56%EV -11.12%E -6.32%K -14.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%EV -10.90%E -6.05%K -13.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-27 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -12.64%E -7.30%K -17.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.71%EV -13.37%E -7.64%K -17.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-27 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-10-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-10-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-10-27 18:55
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-10-27 18:55
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%3.1%2026-10-27 18:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%11.4%2026-10-27 18:50

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