The School of Odds
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FC Bayern München v Dubai Basketball

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 18:00 UTC

Final: FC Bayern München 91–107 Dubai Basketball

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Bayern München (Local)

Prediction 46.72%2.14fair odd
EV -0.950%
Edge -0.448%
Kelly -0.848%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.74%46.75%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.022.022.1254.64%49.55%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dubai Basketball (Visit)

Prediction 53.28%1.88fair odd
EV -0.370%
Edge -0.198%
Kelly -0.425%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%53.26%53.25%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.771.781.8761.35%56.59%56.18%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Bayern München (Local): 46.72%; Dubai Basketball (Visit): 53.28%. For Dubai Basketball (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -0.370%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -0.950%E -0.448%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -9.43%E -5.55%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.88%E -0.897%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.30%E -4.19%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 10:10
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -1.88%E -0.897%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.03%E -6.60%K -16.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 01:54
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-22 17:50
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -3.57%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-22 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.75%E -1.82%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 17:45
GTbets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.75%E -1.82%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -3.75%E -1.82%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -8.89%E -5.20%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 17:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 17:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 17:50
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 17:44
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 17:50
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 17:50
NordicBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 17:50
Betsson🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 17:50
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.62%E -2.78%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.70%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.62%E -2.78%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 17:50
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.62%E -2.78%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 17:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 14:15
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 14:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 14:15
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.70%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-22 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.70%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-22 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.70%E -3.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-22 17:50
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 17:50
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 02:10
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.83%E -4.53%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-22 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.83%E -4.53%K -10.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-22 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.36%E -4.86%K -11.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-22 17:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.43%E -5.55%K -13.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 10:15
picklebet_au🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.49%E -3.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.30%E -4.19%K -9.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-22 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.49%E -3.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.30%E -4.19%K -9.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-22 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.89%E -4.56%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.370%E -0.198%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.89%E -4.56%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.370%E -0.198%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -10.76%E -5.63%K -11.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.35%EV -11.03%E -6.60%K -16.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-22 17:50
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -11.70%E -6.19%K -13.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-22 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.11%EV -14.50%E -7.92%K -17.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 52.89%EV -13.16%E -8.07%K -20.88%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-22 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-10-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-10-22 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-10-22 17:55
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%4.3%2026-10-22 17:45
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%5.0%2026-10-22 17:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.84%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%11.2%2026-10-22 10:09