Language:English
FC Barcelona Bàsquet v Panathinaikos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local)
Prediction 42.73%2.34fair odd
EV -0.014%
Edge -0.006%
Kelly -0.010%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.91%42.68%42.67%45.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.212.202.3449.50%45.16%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panathinaikos (Visit)
Prediction 57.27%1.75fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.30%57.32%57.33%59.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.661.7263.29%60.41%60.24%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local): 42.73%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 57.27%. For FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.3403. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.3400, with an expected value of -0.014%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -0.014%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.72%E -0.749%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.72%E -0.749%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.72%E -0.749%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.72%E -0.749%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.72%E -0.749%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.08%E -3.70%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.58%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 14:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.93%E -2.97%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 16:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.14%E -2.32%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -5.57%E -2.52%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.21%E -1.90%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 18:18 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 14:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.08%E -3.70%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 09:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -9.51%E -6.02%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -6.42%E -2.93%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -1.49%E -0.869%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 12:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.42%E -2.93%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.85%E -3.14%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.85%E -3.14%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.78%E -2.25%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 13:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -6.85%E -3.14%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.21%E -1.90%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 17:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 09:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 14:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -8.99%E -4.22%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -6.08%E -3.70%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 18:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -13.69%E -6.78%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46% | 11.7% | 2026-04-07 14:30 |