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FC Barcelona Bàsquet v Olympiacos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local)
Prediction 39.51%2.53fair odd
EV +3.92%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.40%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.63%39.58%39.75%44.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.392.402.6347.85%41.91%41.75%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiacos (Visit)
Prediction 60.49%1.65fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +3.22%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.59%60.42%60.25%63.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.561.561.6968.03%63.96%64.10%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local): 39.51%; Olympiacos (Visit): 60.49%. For FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.92%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV +3.92%E +1.49%K +2.40%G +0.094% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -8.06%E -5.30%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.22%E -0.488%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.03%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.22%E -0.488%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.22%E -0.488%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.22%E -0.488%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.22%E -0.488%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.22%E -0.488%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.22%E -0.488%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 08:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.01%E -0.811%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.41%E -0.974%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.20%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -3.59%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-16 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.03%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-16 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.17%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.27%E -6.18%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-16 08:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.57%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.03%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-16 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.96%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -6.75%E -2.86%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -8.06%E -5.30%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-16 18:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.61%E -1.62%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-16 18:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.22%E -2.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.03%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.45%E -4.87%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.195%E -0.118%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.61%E -1.62%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.03%E -3.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.64%E -3.61%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.12%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.24%E -4.03%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -9.91%E -4.35%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -4.43%E -2.80%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +2.22%E +1.32%K +3.22%G +0.072% | 3.6% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +2.22%E +1.32%K +3.22%G +0.072% | 3.6% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -11.08%E -7.54%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.41%EV -17.42%E -8.33%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.59%EV +1.02%E +0.608%K +1.51%G +0.015% | 7.7% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-10-16 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50% | 3.7% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35% | 4.2% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.45% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.17% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.38% | 12.8% | 2026-10-15 15:20 |