Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 3.01
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local): 67.46%; Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit): 32.54%. For FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.482. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.480, with an expected value of -0.163%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -0.163%E -0.110%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -12.14%E -4.49%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-13 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -1.51%E -1.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -18.64%E -7.46%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-13 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -1.51%E -1.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -18.64%E -7.46%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-13 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -2.19%E -1.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-13 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -2.86%E -1.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -15.39%E -5.92%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.21%E -2.96%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.37%E -0.791%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-13 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.21%E -2.96%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -3.67%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-13 09:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.21%E -2.96%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -3.67%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-13 09:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.21%E -2.96%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.00%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 04:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.21%E -2.96%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.00%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 04:42 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -2.05%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.00%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 12:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 17:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.65%E -1.59%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 08:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 08:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 08:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98%EV -10.83%E -3.95%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-13 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.37%E -0.791%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.00%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.00%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 12:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 12:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 04:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 04:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 04:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 04:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 12:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.63%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 12:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 04:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.25%E -2.55%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-13 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-13 18:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-13 08:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.45%EV -6.23%E -4.48%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-13 05:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.37%E -0.791%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 12:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-13 12:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.06%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.94%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-13 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-13 17:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.26%E -6.07%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.28%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-13 04:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -10.96%E -8.30%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.51%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-13 12:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-10-13 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-10-13 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-10-13 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-10-13 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-10-13 18:20 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.25% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91% | 11.4% | 2026-10-13 16:54 |