Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Barcelona Bàsquet v Anadolu Efes

Kickoff: 2026-09-24 18:31 UTC

Final: FC Barcelona Bàsquet 89–82 Anadolu Efes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local)

Prediction 47.91%2.09fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.11%47.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.961.972.0555.56%51.02%50.76%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anadolu Efes (Visit)

Prediction 52.09%1.92fair odd
EV +4.18%
Edge +2.09%
Kelly +4.18%
Growth +0.175%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%51.89%52.05%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.822.0057.80%54.83%54.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local): 47.91%; Anadolu Efes (Visit): 52.09%. For Anadolu Efes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.18%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.77%E -7.65%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +4.18%E +2.09%K +4.18%G +0.175%5.6%2026-09-24 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.77%E -7.65%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +4.18%E +2.09%K +4.18%G +0.175%5.6%2026-09-24 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -13.77%E -7.65%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +4.18%E +2.09%K +4.18%G +0.175%5.6%2026-09-24 15:30
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -5.62%E -2.85%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -1.03%E -0.540%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-24 18:05
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.06%E -3.64%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.59%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 18:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 16:00
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -8.02%E -4.18%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.15%E -2.26%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 18:20
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 18:00
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 18:20
BetUS🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.86%EV -11.85%E -6.44%K -14.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-24 18:15
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.23%E -1.60%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-24 18:15
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 18:20
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 15:35
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 15:34
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.62%E -2.85%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.62%E -2.85%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 15:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.62%E -2.85%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.62%E -2.85%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.62%E -2.85%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.10%E -3.11%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 15:34
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -8.50%E -4.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-24 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.71%E -3.16%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 18:20
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.79%E -0.872%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 18:14
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.62%E -2.85%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.10%E -3.11%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 18:20
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 17:40
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 15:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.23%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.54%E -3.91%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 15:34
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.79%E -0.872%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.80%E -4.41%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 15:35
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-24 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.88%E -5.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-24 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.88%E -5.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-24 15:34
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.88%E -5.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-24 15:34
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.88%E -5.71%K -13.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-24 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-09-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-09-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-09-24 18:25
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-09-24 18:25
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%3.0%2026-09-24 18:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.07%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%11.4%2026-09-24 15:34