Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Barcelona Bàsquet v Anadolu Efes

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local)

Prediction 72.85%1.37fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%72.81%72.92%74.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.3580.00%76.79%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anadolu Efes (Visit)

Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV +1.82%
Edge +0.485%
Kelly +0.661%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%27.19%27.08%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.503.7533.33%29.01%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local): 72.85%; Anadolu Efes (Visit): 27.15%. For Anadolu Efes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.82%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -8.21%E -6.52%K -31.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +1.82%E +0.485%K +0.661%G +0.012%6.0%2026-03-24 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.03%E -4.67%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.460%E +0.124%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.5%2026-03-24 18:50
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.75%E -5.28%K -24.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.460%E +0.124%K +0.171%G +0.001%5.2%2026-03-24 18:49
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.75%E -5.28%K -24.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.460%E +0.124%K +0.171%G +0.001%5.2%2026-03-24 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV +0.189%E +0.051%K +0.070%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 19:25
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.57%E -3.49%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:34
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.03%E -4.67%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.48%E -5.89%K -27.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.25%E -0.626%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 13:34
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -3.84%E -2.91%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -2.80%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-24 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 18:48
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 18:49
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.84%E -2.91%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 17:29
William Hill🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.57%E -3.49%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:09
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 21:59
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 17:10
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.03%E -4.67%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.94%E -7.15%K -35.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-24 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.11%E -2.34%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 11:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.11%E -2.34%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 11:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.84%E -2.91%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.03%E -4.67%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 18:50
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -3.84%E -2.91%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -6.87%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 18:09
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.84%E -2.91%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -7.14%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.03%E -4.67%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 17:34
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.48%E -5.89%K -27.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-24 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -1.65%E -1.23%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 17:29
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.11%E -2.34%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 23:19
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-24 17:34
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.84%E -2.91%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 11:09
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.49%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.50%EV -15.02%E -4.80%K -7.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-24 19:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -3.84%E -2.91%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 18:53
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-23 23:19
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-23 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.30%E -4.07%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.83%E -5.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-23 23:19
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.11%E -2.34%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -18.55%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-24 19:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-24 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-24 19:25
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-03-24 19:25
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%4.3%2026-03-24 19:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.96%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%11.4%2026-03-23 14:44