The School of Odds
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Dubai Basketball v Paris Basketball

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 16:00 UTC

Final: Dubai Basketball 93–99 Paris Basketball

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dubai Basketball (Local)

Prediction 77.92%1.28fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -6.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.53%77.97%77.84%79.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.211.221.2687.72%82.51%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Paris Basketball (Visit)

Prediction 22.08%4.53fair odd
EV +3.76%
Edge +0.800%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.07%22.03%22.16%26.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.254.304.7028.57%23.52%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dubai Basketball (Local): 77.92%; Paris Basketball (Visit): 22.08%. For Paris Basketball (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.53. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.76%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +3.76%E +0.800%K +1.02%G +0.038%6.0%2026-10-27 15:14
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +0.447%E +0.098%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.3%2026-10-27 15:10
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV +0.447%E +0.098%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.3%2026-10-27 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.657%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-27 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.657%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-27 15:10
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.657%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 15:10
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.657%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.657%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.657%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.657%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.657%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 14:45
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.42%EV -4.15%E -3.38%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.58%EV -1.32%E -0.295%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 15:40
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.05%E -6.82%K -44.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -2.86%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 15:10
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.66%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.34%EV -4.85%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-27 15:50
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 15:05
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -5.73%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-27 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -5.73%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-27 15:40
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-27 15:44
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-27 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 15:50
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.37%E -2.72%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 15:10
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 15:10
picklebet_au🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 15:19
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.27%E -6.11%K -38.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 15:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -11.17%E -9.80%K -79.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-27 15:05
TAB🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.15%E -3.38%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -13.90%E -3.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 15:45
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.11%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -1.82%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -22.73%E -6.50%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 14:30
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -1.82%E -1.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -22.73%E -6.50%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-10-27 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-10-27 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-10-27 15:50
Smarkets◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-10-27 15:50
Matchbook◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-10-27 15:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.31%10.9%2026-10-27 14:30

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