Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.37
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dubai Basketball (Local): 71.47%; FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit): 28.53%. For FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -0.155%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -2.08%E -1.52%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -5.29%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.29%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.03%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -5.57%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 15:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.03%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -5.57%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.86%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.51%E -2.60%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.86%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.23%E -3.15%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.58%E -0.458%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-29 15:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.01%E -0.885%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 14:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.01%E -0.885%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 10:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -4.15%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.43%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.29%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.94%E -3.72%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.66%E -4.28%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.01%E -0.885%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.66%E -4.28%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.86%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 15:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.66%E -4.28%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 12:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.93%EV -5.66%E -4.28%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.07%EV -12.42%E -4.05%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.37%E -4.86%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.155%E -0.044%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.37%E -4.86%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.86%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.155%E -0.044%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.155%E -0.044%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.155%E -0.044%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.155%E -0.044%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 15:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.58%E -0.458%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 15:38 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.58%E -0.458%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.58%E -0.458%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.58%E -0.458%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.58%E -0.458%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.58%E -0.458%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 14:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.58%E -0.458%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.58%E -0.458%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.01%E -0.885%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.01%E -0.885%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 11:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.86%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.98%EV -7.09%E -5.45%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.02%EV -9.28%E -2.92%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.43%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.86%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 12:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.80%E -6.05%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.86%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.51%E -6.65%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.01%E -0.885%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-28 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.51%E -6.65%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.86%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 12:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-09-29 15:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57% | 2.9% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.07% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99% | 11.4% | 2026-09-29 12:50 |