The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Beşiktaş J.K. v Olympiacos

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 17:30 UTC

Final: Beşiktaş J.K. 73–81 Olympiacos

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Beşiktaş J.K. (Local)

Prediction 44.62%2.24fair odd
EV +2.64%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +2.03%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%44.49%44.59%46.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.122.102.3051.81%47.23%47.62%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Olympiacos (Visit)

Prediction 55.38%1.81fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.805%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.89%55.51%55.41%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.701.691.7863.69%58.93%59.00%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beşiktaş J.K. (Local): 44.62%; Olympiacos (Visit): 55.38%. For Beşiktaş J.K. (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.64%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +2.64%E +1.15%K +2.03%G +0.054%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.29%E -6.35%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-28 15:24
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +1.30%E +0.572%K +1.02%G +0.013%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -6.97%E -4.15%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 17:20
ReBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -0.933%E -0.420%K -0.764%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -7.52%E -4.51%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-28 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -1.38%E -0.624%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -6.42%E -3.80%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 17:05
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.83%E -0.830%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.52%E -4.51%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 14:55
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.83%E -0.830%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.52%E -4.51%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.83%E -0.830%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.52%E -4.51%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 15:00
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.83%E -0.830%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.40%E -7.12%K -19.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.83%E -0.830%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.40%E -7.12%K -19.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 15:25
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.83%E -0.830%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.06%E -8.32%K -22.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-28 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -2.72%E -1.25%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -4.20%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-28 15:40
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.72%E -1.25%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.42%E -3.80%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 14:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-28 15:40
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.31%E -3.10%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.86%E -3.45%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 17:29
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.63%E -5.23%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:29
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.50%E -2.10%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 11:04
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.95%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.54%E -1.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-28 17:29
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.40%E -2.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 13:59
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.40%E -2.54%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 14:00
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.99%E -1.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-28 17:09
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.09%E -1.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-28 17:25
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.31%E -3.10%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 08:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.42%E -3.80%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-28 17:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.42%E -3.80%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-28 15:39
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.97%E -4.15%K -10.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:29
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.52%E -4.51%K -11.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 15:14
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.29%E -2.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.52%E -4.51%K -11.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.43%E -0.805%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-28 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.43%E -0.805%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-28 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.09%E -1.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-28 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.09%E -1.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-28 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.09%E -1.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-28 17:20
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.09%E -1.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-28 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.09%E -1.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-28 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.09%E -1.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-28 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.86%E -3.45%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 15:40
picklebet_au🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.52%E -4.51%K -11.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.52%E -4.51%K -11.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 15:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.52%E -4.51%K -11.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.63%E -3.68%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -3.65%E -2.10%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.07%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -4.20%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 17:20
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.07%E -3.92%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -4.20%E -2.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 17:20
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.75%E -2.76%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 15:55
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.42%E -3.80%K -9.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 13:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -9.18%E -5.60%K -14.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-28 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.81%EV -13.43%E -6.92%K -14.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.19%EV -9.18%E -5.60%K -14.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-28 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.01%EV -13.87%E -7.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.99%EV -12.51%E -7.92%K -21.56%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-28 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-10-28 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-10-28 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-10-28 17:25
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-10-28 17:20
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%4.4%2026-10-28 17:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09%12.4%2026-10-28 16:25

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.