Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Beşiktaş J.K. v FC Bayern München

2026-10-16 17:00 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Beşiktaş J.K. (Local)

Prediction 59.65%1.68fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.24%59.69%59.49%60.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.581.581.6468.03%63.49%63.49%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Bayern München (Visit)

Prediction 40.35%2.48fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.90%40.31%40.51%41.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.302.342.3848.78%43.48%42.74%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Beşiktaş J.K. (Local): 59.65%; FC Bayern München (Visit): 40.35%. For Beşiktaş J.K. (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.64, with an expected value of -2.18%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.18%E -1.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.57%E -2.85%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.57%E -2.85%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.57%E -2.85%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.16%E -3.25%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.96%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 14:01
ReBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -5.76%E -3.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -7.59%E -3.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.19%E -3.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 13:59
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.95%E -4.46%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.17%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -6.95%E -4.46%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.97%E -2.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.95%E -4.46%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 58.24%EV -12.32%E -8.38%K -26.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.76%EV -17.27%E -8.43%K -16.45%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 53.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 46.81%70.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-10 14:01