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ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Saski Baskonia

2026-10-30 19:00 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)

Prediction 56.67%1.76fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.75%56.57%56.77%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.651.671.7065.36%60.47%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saski Baskonia (Visit)

Prediction 43.33%2.31fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.723%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.43%43.23%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.152.152.2751.55%46.55%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local): 56.67%; Saski Baskonia (Visit): 43.33%. For Saski Baskonia (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.27, with an expected value of -1.64%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.66%E -2.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 21:24
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.66%E -2.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.66%E -2.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.66%E -2.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 21:25
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.64%E -0.723%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-22 21:51
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 21:25
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 21:25
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 21:25
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-22 21:25
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.06%E -4.31%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.97%E -2.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 21:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.06%E -4.31%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 22:05
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.06%E -4.31%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.71%E -3.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 21:25
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.67%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-22 21:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.75%EV -12.73%E -8.27%K -23.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.25%EV -15.94%E -8.22%K -16.96%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-22 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.91%EV -13.30%E -8.69%K -25.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.09%EV -15.94%E -8.22%K -16.96%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-22 21:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.