The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Saski Baskonia

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 19:01 UTC

Final: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne 94–79 Saski Baskonia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)

Prediction 62.37%1.60fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.926%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.57%62.57%62.30%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.501.501.5872.46%66.69%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saski Baskonia (Visit)

Prediction 37.63%2.66fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.597%
Kelly +0.949%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%37.43%37.70%39.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.532.542.7045.45%39.51%39.29%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local): 62.37%; Saski Baskonia (Visit): 37.63%. For Saski Baskonia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.61%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +1.61%E +0.597%K +0.949%G +0.015%3.3%2026-10-30 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -5.83%E -3.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +1.61%E +0.597%K +0.949%G +0.015%3.3%2026-10-30 18:45
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.70%E -5.20%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.269%E -0.101%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.70%E -5.20%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.269%E -0.101%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.70%E -5.20%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.269%E -0.101%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.70%E -5.20%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.269%E -0.101%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.70%E -5.20%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.269%E -0.101%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.70%E -5.20%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.269%E -0.101%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.32%E -5.66%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -0.269%E -0.101%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-30 18:45
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -8.95%E -6.13%K -19.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -1.02%E -0.388%K -0.627%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -9.57%E -6.60%K -21.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -1.02%E -0.388%K -0.627%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 18:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.40%E -0.534%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 19:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.15%E -0.827%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 10:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.15%E -0.827%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.15%E -0.827%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 10:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.15%E -0.827%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 10:40
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -3.66%E -1.43%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-30 10:39
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-30 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 16:00
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 14:19
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 10:40
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 10:40
picklebet_au🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.03%E -1.58%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.41%E -1.74%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-30 12:54
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -7.08%E -4.75%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -4.41%E -1.74%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 07:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -7.70%E -5.20%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -4.79%E -1.89%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 19:00
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-29 07:50
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-30 10:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-30 01:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-30 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.91%E -2.37%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 10:40
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -1.46%E -0.926%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-30 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.25%EV -13.94%E -10.10%K -36.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.75%EV -6.67%E -2.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-30 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -7.42%E -3.02%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 10:40
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.20%E -3.42%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 03:35
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 19:00
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.32%E -5.66%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.80%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-30 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.08%E -4.75%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -8.17%E -3.35%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-30 10:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.08%E -4.75%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -8.17%E -3.35%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-30 10:44
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -3.33%E -2.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -8.55%E -3.52%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-30 18:20
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-29 16:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.32%E -5.66%K -17.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.68%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-30 10:24
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -11.56%E -4.92%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-29 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -11.56%E -4.92%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-29 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.11%EV -12.69%E -9.06%K -31.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%EV -17.20%E -7.82%K -14.34%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-30 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-10-30 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-10-30 19:00
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-10-30 18:55
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%2.9%2026-10-30 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 40.56%1.01I 99.01%NM 59.44%66.6%2026-10-30 19:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.17%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.45%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.38%12.8%2026-10-29 16:24

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