Language:English
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v KK Crvena zvezda
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)
Prediction 45.22%2.21fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.647%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.10%45.25%45.24%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.072.082.1853.19%48.41%48.08%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
KK Crvena zvezda (Visit)
Prediction 54.78%1.83fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.780%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.75%54.76%55.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.741.741.8059.52%57.51%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local): 45.22%; KK Crvena zvezda (Visit): 54.78%. For KK Crvena zvezda (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.41%E -0.647%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.79%E -3.36%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-13 11:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.41%E -0.647%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.79%E -3.36%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-13 11:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.32%E -1.07%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.69%E -2.70%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-13 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.88%E -4.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 12:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.88%E -4.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.88%E -4.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.77%E -1.29%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.88%E -4.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 12:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.14%E -2.37%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-13 16:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.69%E -2.70%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-13 15:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -7.43%E -4.40%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.12%E -1.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.24%E -3.03%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.03%E -2.39%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.50%E -1.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-13 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.03%E -2.39%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.05%E -1.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 15:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.03%E -2.39%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.14%E -2.37%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.03%E -2.39%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.69%E -2.70%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 16:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.03%E -2.39%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.69%E -2.70%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 16:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.03%E -2.39%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.69%E -2.70%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 16:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.03%E -2.39%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.24%E -3.03%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.03%E -2.39%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.33%E -3.70%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 11:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.03%E -2.39%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.43%E -4.40%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-13 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.14%E -2.37%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 16:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.93%E -2.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.14%E -2.37%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.29%E -3.56%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.79%E -3.36%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-13 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.29%E -3.56%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.33%E -3.70%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-13 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -8.19%E -4.04%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -6.88%E -4.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-13 16:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -8.19%E -4.04%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -6.88%E -4.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-13 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.40%E -0.780%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.40%E -0.780%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 16:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.40%E -0.780%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.40%E -0.780%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.40%E -0.780%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.40%E -0.780%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 16:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.40%E -0.780%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.50%E -1.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 16:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.50%E -1.40%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.24%E -3.03%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-13 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.24%E -3.03%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-13 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.88%E -4.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-13 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.55%E -4.78%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.98%E -4.75%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-13 16:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -11.81%E -6.06%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -4.69%E -2.70%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-13 17:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -14.98%E -7.97%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.81%EV -7.98%E -4.75%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-13 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-10-13 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.5% | 2026-10-13 17:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10% | 12.3% | 2026-10-13 17:00 |