The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Beşiktaş J.K.

2026-11-13 19:30 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)

Prediction 52.95%1.89fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -5.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.89%52.94%53.05%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.761.771.8162.50%56.94%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Beşiktaş J.K. (Visit)

Prediction 47.05%2.13fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%47.06%46.95%48.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.961.992.0655.56%50.92%50.25%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local): 52.95%; Beşiktaş J.K. (Visit): 47.05%. For Beşiktaş J.K. (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.06, with an expected value of -3.07%; they do not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.07%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-08 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 11:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 11:35
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -9.66%E -5.03%K -10.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-08 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -9.66%E -5.03%K -10.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-08 11:35
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -6.28%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.83%EV -5.42%E -2.70%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 12:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.28%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 11:34
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.28%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-08 11:35
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.28%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.84%E -3.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 11:34
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -6.81%E -3.87%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -6.84%E -3.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-08 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.81%E -3.87%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.78%E -3.97%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 12:15
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -7.34%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -10.13%E -5.30%K -11.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-08 11:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.40%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 11:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.33%EV -13.17%E -8.03%K -20.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.67%EV -15.31%E -8.50%K -19.13%G +0.000%16.5%2026-11-08 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.08%EV -15.28%E -9.55%K -25.47%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 46.92%EV -14.83%E -8.20%K -18.31%G +0.000%17.7%2026-11-08 11:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.29%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.58%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%11.9%2026-11-08 12:10

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.