The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Anadolu Efes v Panathinaikos

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 17:32 UTC

Final: Anadolu Efes 83–68 Panathinaikos

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anadolu Efes (Local)

Prediction 33.36%3.00fair odd
EV +8.44%
Edge +2.60%
Kelly +3.75%
Growth +0.316%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.35%33.15%33.41%36.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.872.893.2542.55%34.79%34.60%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panathinaikos (Visit)

Prediction 66.64%1.50fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -7.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.51%66.85%66.59%70.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.401.381.4576.92%71.64%72.46%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anadolu Efes (Local): 33.36%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 66.64%. For Anadolu Efes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.44%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +8.44%E +2.60%K +3.75%G +0.316%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -10.04%E -7.44%K -28.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-30 07:05
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.43%E +1.11%K +1.63%G +0.056%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.38%E -6.89%K -26.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 23:24
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.43%E +1.11%K +1.63%G +0.056%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.38%E -6.89%K -26.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 23:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.43%E +1.11%K +1.63%G +0.056%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.38%E -6.89%K -26.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.43%E +1.11%K +1.63%G +0.056%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.38%E -6.89%K -26.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 23:24
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.095%E +0.032%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 18:20
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.095%E +0.032%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.095%E +0.032%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.095%E +0.032%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.095%E +0.032%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.095%E +0.032%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.095%E +0.032%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 18:20
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.095%E +0.032%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.38%E -6.89%K -26.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 14:15
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 13:20
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-29 17:15
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-29 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.04%E -7.44%K -28.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-30 07:05
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.04%E -7.44%K -28.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-30 07:05
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -2.57%E -0.882%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-30 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-30 17:20
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-30 17:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 13:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-30 17:30
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.91%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.38%E -6.89%K -26.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 13:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.58%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.38%E -2.33%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-30 17:30
GTbets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -4.58%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-30 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.38%E -2.33%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-30 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.71%E -6.36%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-30 13:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.71%E -6.36%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-30 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -5.91%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 13:15
SportsBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -6.24%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 17:30
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 17:09
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.29%EV -13.37%E -10.29%K -44.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-29 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.38%E -2.33%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 17:30
picklebet_au🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.38%E -2.33%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 17:30
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-30 17:30
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.91%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.38%E -2.33%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 17:30
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.91%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.38%E -2.33%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 17:30
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.91%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 17:25
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.91%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 17:30
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -11.58%E -4.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-30 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -12.58%E -4.80%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -3.38%E -2.33%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -13.25%E -5.10%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.49%EV -21.59%E -9.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 63.51%EV -10.04%E -7.44%K -28.69%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-30 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-10-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-10-30 17:30
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%2.2%2026-10-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-10-30 17:30
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%3.7%2026-10-30 17:30

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.65%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.54%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%12.9%2026-10-30 17:30