Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anadolu Efes v FC Bayern München

2026-10-14 17:30 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anadolu Efes (Local)

Prediction 70.65%1.42fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -3.43%
Kelly -13.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.60%70.60%70.65%72.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.331.3578.74%75.53%75.19%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Bayern München (Visit)

Prediction 29.35%3.41fair odd
EV +3.33%
Edge +0.946%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.42%29.40%29.35%32.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.163.203.5237.74%31.64%31.25%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Anadolu Efes (Local): 70.65%; FC Bayern München (Visit): 29.35%. For FC Bayern München (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.52, producing a positive expected value of +3.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV +3.33%E +0.946%K +1.32%G +0.044%3.6%2026-10-05 08:18
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.34%E -3.98%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 08:25
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 08:20
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.45%E -5.69%K -24.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 08:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.63%E -3.43%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.06%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 08:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.16%E -6.28%K -27.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.06%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-05 08:15
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.63%E -3.43%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 08:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 08:15
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV -10.76%E -3.54%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 08:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 67.60%EV -10.28%E -8.09%K -38.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.40%EV -22.21%E -8.38%K -13.46%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-05 08:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 09:00