Language:English
Anadolu Efes v FC Bayern München
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anadolu Efes (Local)
Prediction 66.15%1.51fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -5.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.63%66.23%66.24%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.421.421.4774.07%70.36%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Bayern München (Visit)
Prediction 33.85%2.95fair odd
EV -0.157%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.080%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%33.77%33.76%35.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.792.802.9538.02%35.84%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anadolu Efes (Local): 66.15%; FC Bayern München (Visit): 33.85%. For FC Bayern München (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.955. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.950, with an expected value of -0.157%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -3.88%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-14 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-14 16:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-14 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.08%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-14 15:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-14 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 17:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 12:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 12:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 12:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -9.30%E -3.47%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-14 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.157%E -0.053%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.157%E -0.053%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 16:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -2.19%E -0.757%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-14 17:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-14 12:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-14 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-14 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 06:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 06:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 06:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 06:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-14 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-14 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.45%EV -8.04%E -5.79%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-14 16:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.51%EV -8.04%E -5.79%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -6.59%E -2.39%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 16:53 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -8.04%E -5.79%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-14 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.30%EV -8.71%E -6.31%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.70%EV -3.88%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-14 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.08%EV -10.69%E -7.92%K -30.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -10.99%E -4.18%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-14 12:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33% | 2.7% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89% | 3.1% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96% | 10.5% | 2026-10-14 17:30 |