The School of Odds
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Anadolu Efes v Beşiktaş J.K.

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 17:30 UTC

Final: Anadolu Efes 89–80 Beşiktaş J.K.

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anadolu Efes (Local)

Prediction 63.45%1.58fair odd
EV -0.388%
Edge -0.247%
Kelly -0.680%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.04%63.38%63.41%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.481.491.5773.53%67.47%67.11%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Beşiktaş J.K. (Visit)

Prediction 36.55%2.74fair odd
EV +0.520%
Edge +0.189%
Kelly +0.297%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%36.62%36.59%38.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.552.7542.55%38.74%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anadolu Efes (Local): 63.45%; Beşiktaş J.K. (Visit): 36.55%. For Beşiktaş J.K. (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.520%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.00%E -5.52%K -17.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.520%E +0.189%K +0.297%G +0.002%5.3%2026-10-22 15:55
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.520%E +0.189%K +0.297%G +0.002%5.8%2026-10-22 16:25
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.520%E +0.189%K +0.297%G +0.002%5.8%2026-10-22 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.520%E +0.189%K +0.297%G +0.002%5.8%2026-10-22 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.520%E +0.189%K +0.297%G +0.002%5.8%2026-10-22 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.31%E -0.484%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.56%EV -7.37%E -5.05%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -2.77%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-22 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.14%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 16:25
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.46%E -3.67%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -3.50%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.56%E -2.34%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.23%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.23%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:24
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -11.17%E -7.98%K -27.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -4.23%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-22 15:55
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.19%E -2.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 16:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 16:25
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 16:35
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 16:25
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.55%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.45%EV -5.69%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 17:05
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -5.46%E -3.67%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -6.42%E -2.51%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-22 17:25
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -6.73%E -4.58%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -6.42%E -2.51%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 16:25
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.66%E -1.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-22 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 12:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.46%E -3.67%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 12:39
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.46%E -3.67%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 12:40
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-22 16:39
picklebet_au🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.37%E -5.05%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.37%E -5.05%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.00%E -5.52%K -17.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-22 15:55
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.00%E -5.52%K -17.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-22 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-22 16:24
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.29%E -1.49%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -7.16%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -0.388%E -0.247%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -7.52%E -2.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-22 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -0.388%E -0.247%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -7.52%E -2.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-22 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.41%EV -7.37%E -5.05%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.59%EV -7.52%E -2.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-22 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -0.388%E -0.247%K -0.680%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -10.08%E -4.10%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -10.54%E -7.47%K -25.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.01%EV -12.27%E -5.11%K -8.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-22 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.34%EV -13.71%E -10.08%K -38.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.66%EV -14.10%E -6.00%K -10.45%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-22 16:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-10-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-10-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-10-22 17:25
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%4.9%2026-10-22 17:25
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%5.0%2026-10-22 17:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%11.0%2026-10-22 15:55