The School of Odds
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Yomiuri Giants v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 45.90%2.18fair odd
EV +0.982%
Edge +0.446%
Kelly +0.818%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.73%46.21%48.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.062.052.2052.08%48.59%48.66%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 54.10%1.85fair odd
EV -0.999%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.20%54.27%53.79%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.731.8359.88%57.60%57.64%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 45.90%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 54.10%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.982%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.982%E +0.446%K +0.818%G +0.008%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.65%E -5.78%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 13:00
William Hill🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +0.523%E +0.239%K +0.439%G +0.002%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -7.49%E -4.38%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 08:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.31%E -0.611%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.87%E -3.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.31%E -0.611%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.87%E -3.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 08:30
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.31%E -0.611%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.49%E -4.38%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 08:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.61%E -1.72%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.57%E -5.07%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 08:45
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.61%E -1.72%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.65%E -5.78%K -14.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 08:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.61%E -1.72%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.65%E -5.78%K -14.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 08:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.61%E -1.72%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.65%E -5.78%K -14.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 08:15
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%EV -4.53%E -2.18%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%EV -0.999%E -0.546%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-03 08:50
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -4.53%E -2.18%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.49%E -4.38%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 08:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -4.53%E -2.18%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.49%E -4.38%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 08:30
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -4.53%E -2.18%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.49%E -4.38%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 08:30
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -4.53%E -2.18%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.49%E -4.38%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 08:30
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.44%E -2.64%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.08%E -1.15%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 08:45
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.44%E -2.64%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.24%E -2.40%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 08:55
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 08:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 08:54
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.70%E -2.08%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 08:55
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.70%E -2.08%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 08:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.65%E -5.78%K -14.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -6.82%E -3.36%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -5.87%E -3.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 08:50
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.24%E -2.40%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.24%E -2.40%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:55
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.24%E -2.40%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:49
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.87%E -3.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 08:55
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.41%E -3.70%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 08:55
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.49%E -4.38%K -10.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 08:40
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.03%E -4.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 08:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.33%E -3.04%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.03%E -4.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 08:55
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -11.87%E -6.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -0.999%E -0.546%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 08:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.