The School of Odds
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Yomiuri Giants v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-09-02 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 40.99%2.44fair odd
EV -0.392%
Edge -0.161%
Kelly -0.274%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%41.16%41.02%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.282.302.4346.73%43.88%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 59.01%1.69fair odd
EV -0.275%
Edge -0.163%
Kelly -0.398%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%58.84%58.98%60.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.601.611.6966.23%62.46%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 40.99%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 59.01%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.695. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.690, with an expected value of -0.275%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -0.392%E -0.161%K -0.274%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -5.00%E -3.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 08:45
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.44%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.18%E -3.88%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 08:55
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.67%E -1.56%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.00%E -3.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 08:54
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.67%E -1.56%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 08:36
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.67%E -1.56%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.31%E -6.78%K -19.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 08:54
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.49%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 08:45
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.49%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.00%E -3.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 08:54
BetUS🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.49%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.00%E -3.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -4.49%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -6.18%E -3.88%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 08:53
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.46%E -0.871%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.46%E -0.871%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 08:40
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 08:44
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.18%E -3.88%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 08:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 08:55
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 08:54
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 08:54
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.77%E -3.45%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.46%E -0.871%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 08:45
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.77%E -3.45%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.77%E -3.45%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.77%E -3.45%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 08:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.77%E -3.45%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 08:40
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.77%E -3.45%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 08:50
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.77%E -3.45%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.95%E -5.09%K -14.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.59%E -3.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.82%E -2.34%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 08:50
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.59%E -3.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.82%E -2.34%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.59%E -3.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.82%E -2.34%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.59%E -3.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.82%E -2.34%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 08:50
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.59%E -3.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.82%E -2.34%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 08:50
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.59%E -3.85%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.82%E -2.34%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.82%E -4.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -9.72%E -6.35%K -18.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 08:54
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.87%E -5.52%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.275%E -0.163%K -0.398%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 08:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -12.28%E -5.74%K -10.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -10.90%E -7.22%K -21.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-02 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.