Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 49.83%2.01fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.672%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.85%50.00%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.881.881.9856.18%53.21%53.19%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 50.17%1.99fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%50.15%50.00%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.871.881.9156.82%53.47%53.19%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 49.83%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 50.17%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.98, with an expected value of -1.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -1.33%E -0.672%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -4.68%E -2.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 08:50
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.69%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.82%E -1.98%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.69%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 08:35
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 08:54
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 08:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.32%E -2.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 08:54
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.19%E -2.74%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 08:55
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.69%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 08:50
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 08:05
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 08:05
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 12:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 08:04
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 20:09
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 08:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 08:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 08:05
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.80%E -4.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.80%E -4.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 08:50
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.80%E -4.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 08:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.58%EV -9.30%E -5.11%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.42%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.68%E -2.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 08:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.28%EV -11.71%E -6.65%K -15.40%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.