The School of Odds
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Yomiuri Giants v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 53.87%1.86fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.47%53.99%53.62%56.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.741.8259.88%57.40%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 46.13%2.17fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.466%
Kelly +0.857%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.85%46.01%46.38%48.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.052.052.1951.81%48.78%48.78%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 53.87%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 46.13%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +1.02%E +0.466%K +0.857%G +0.009%4.1%2026-04-04 00:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.825%E -0.384%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 04:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.825%E -0.384%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 04:54
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.21%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 04:54
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.42%E -4.95%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.42%E -4.95%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 16:55
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.42%E -4.95%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 16:54
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.42%E -4.95%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 16:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.03%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.03%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.03%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -1.95%E -1.07%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 04:45
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.98%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 04:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.98%E -2.42%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 04:45
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.03%E -1.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 04:45
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.03%E -1.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 04:45
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 04:55
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 04:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -7.28%E -3.62%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 04:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 04:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 04:39
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 04:40
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 04:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.80%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 04:40
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 04:45
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 04:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 04:43
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 04:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.42%E -4.95%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 04:50
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -1.95%E -1.07%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -10.97%E -5.69%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.