The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Yomiuri Giants v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 54.99%1.82fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.935%
Kelly +2.03%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.82%54.67%55.12%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.731.721.8560.24%57.68%58.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 45.01%2.22fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.567%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%45.33%44.88%48.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.062.2551.28%48.35%48.43%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 54.99%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 45.01%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV +1.73%E +0.935%K +2.03%G +0.035%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -10.43%E -5.24%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 15:50
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -0.470%E -0.260%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -11.78%E -6.01%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -0.470%E -0.260%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -12.23%E -6.27%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 17:54
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -0.470%E -0.260%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -12.23%E -6.27%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 17:54
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -0.470%E -0.260%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -12.23%E -6.27%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.02%E -0.567%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.08%E -4.49%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 04:35
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.02%E -0.567%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.23%E -6.27%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:22
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.22%E -1.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.13%E -1.94%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 04:30
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -3.77%E -2.15%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-05 04:35
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -3.77%E -2.15%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 04:30
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.32%E -2.48%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 04:34
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.32%E -2.48%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.68%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 04:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.87%E -2.81%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 04:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.87%E -2.81%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 04:35
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.87%E -2.81%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 04:35
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.42%E -3.15%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 04:40
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.42%E -3.15%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.23%E -1.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 04:39
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.97%E -3.49%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.68%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 04:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.97%E -3.49%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 04:34
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.97%E -3.49%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 04:39
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.97%E -3.49%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 04:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.52%E -3.83%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 04:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.52%E -3.83%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 04:34
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.52%E -3.83%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 04:30
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.52%E -3.83%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 04:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -7.07%E -4.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +1.28%E +0.567%K +1.02%G +0.013%3.6%2026-04-05 04:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -7.07%E -4.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +1.28%E +0.567%K +1.02%G +0.013%3.6%2026-04-05 04:34
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.07%E -4.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 04:35
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.07%E -4.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 04:28
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.07%E -4.18%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 04:34
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.17%E -4.89%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 04:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.72%E -5.25%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.