Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

2026-08-09 05:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 57.18%1.75fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.87%57.14%57.07%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.651.651.6962.89%60.75%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 42.82%2.34fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.660%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.07%42.86%42.93%44.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.41%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 57.18%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 42.82%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.30, with an expected value of -1.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.36%E -1.99%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.80%E -1.23%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 14:24
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.36%E -1.99%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.66%E -1.63%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-08 13:49
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.36%E -1.99%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.66%E -1.63%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-08 14:04
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -3.36%E -1.99%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -8.37%E -3.91%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.52%E -0.660%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.52%E -0.660%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.94%E -2.23%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 19:05
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.08%E -3.06%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.37%E -1.04%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 13:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.08%E -3.06%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.23%E -2.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.65%E -3.42%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.66%E -1.63%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:59
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.65%E -3.42%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.66%E -1.63%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 17:00
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.65%E -3.42%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.66%E -1.63%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.65%E -3.42%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 14:23
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.79%E -4.17%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.79%E -4.17%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:19
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.79%E -4.17%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.79%E -4.17%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.79%E -4.17%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.79%E -4.17%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:32
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.37%E -4.55%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 17:05
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.37%E -4.55%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 14:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.37%E -4.55%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 15:39
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.80%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:49
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.49%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -10.51%E -5.03%K -9.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.32%EV -9.08%E -5.71%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 17:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.