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Yomiuri Giants v Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yomiuri Giants (Local)
Prediction 60.90%1.64fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%60.79%61.07%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.561.561.6168.03%64.27%63.90%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)
Prediction 39.10%2.56fair odd
EV -0.680%
Edge -0.268%
Kelly -0.442%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%39.21%38.93%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.402.5444.44%41.97%41.67%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 60.90%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 39.10%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.54, with an expected value of -0.680%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.95%E -1.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.20%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-04 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.95%E -1.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.20%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-04 08:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -1.95%E -1.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -2.56%E -1.60%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -4.59%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 08:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.17%E -2.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.06%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -3.78%E -2.39%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -10.85%E -4.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -0.680%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.24%E -0.898%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-04 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.59%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-04 08:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.37%E -2.22%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -10.85%E -4.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -10.85%E -4.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 08:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -10.85%E -4.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -10.85%E -4.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -10.85%E -4.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.39%E -2.80%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 08:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.00%E -3.20%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.20%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 08:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.00%E -3.20%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.15%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 08:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.00%E -3.20%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.15%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.20%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 08:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.61%E -3.62%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.20%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.22%E -4.04%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.03%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 08:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.83%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.20%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 08:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.83%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.15%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.83%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.15%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 08:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.83%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.15%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.83%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.15%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 08:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.83%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.83%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.11%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 08:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.83%E -4.46%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.06%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.65%E -5.77%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.15%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.65%E -5.77%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.06%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-04 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.48%E -7.13%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.24%E -0.898%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 08:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.