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Yomiuri Giants v Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yomiuri Giants (Local)
Prediction 56.26%1.78fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.884%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.21%56.45%56.28%58.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.671.7563.69%59.63%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)
Prediction 43.74%2.29fair odd
EV +1.48%
Edge +0.638%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.64%43.55%43.72%45.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.3250.00%46.60%46.51%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 56.26%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 43.74%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -6.61%E -3.98%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV +1.48%E +0.638%K +1.12%G +0.017% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 05:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -6.61%E -3.98%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV +1.48%E +0.638%K +1.12%G +0.017% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.61%E -3.98%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.270%E -0.119%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 05:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.49%E -3.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 05:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.49%E -3.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 05:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.49%E -3.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 05:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.49%E -3.26%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 05:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 05:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.17%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 05:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.99%E -6.24%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 05:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.67%E -7.44%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 05:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -1.55%E -0.884%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-08 05:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.67%E -1.54%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.64%E -2.13%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 05:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.92%E -2.91%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 05:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 05:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 05:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 05:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.96%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 05:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.23%E -1.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 05:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.23%E -1.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 05:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.23%E -1.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 05:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.23%E -1.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 05:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.23%E -1.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.23%E -1.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 05:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.92%E -2.91%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 05:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.92%E -2.91%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 23:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 05:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 05:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 05:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 05:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.14%E -3.88%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 05:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -2.11%E -1.21%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -9.89%E -4.80%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 05:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 23:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.42%E -5.85%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.33%E -5.04%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 05:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.71%EV -10.55%E -6.63%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -12.52%E -6.26%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 05:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.