Language:English
Yomiuri Giants v Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yomiuri Giants (Local)
Prediction 53.55%1.87fair odd
EV -0.388%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.451%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.27%53.53%53.62%54.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.751.8658.82%56.97%57.14%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)
Prediction 46.45%2.15fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.09%46.47%46.38%49.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.022.002.1253.19%49.47%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 53.55%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 46.45%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.86, with an expected value of -0.388%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -0.388%E -0.209%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -5.72%E -2.82%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 04:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -0.388%E -0.209%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -12.68%E -6.75%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 04:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -1.46%E -0.793%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.60%E -2.00%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.60%E -2.00%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.60%E -2.00%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 04:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.60%E -2.00%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 04:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.14%E -2.31%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.97%E -4.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.46%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 04:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.46%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.46%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 14:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.32%E -2.10%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 04:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.74%E -3.26%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.39%E -1.63%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 04:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.28%E -3.59%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.54%E -0.725%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.28%E -3.59%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 04:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.28%E -3.59%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 04:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.28%E -3.59%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.81%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 13:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.81%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 04:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.81%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 04:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 04:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 13:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.42%E -4.92%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 04:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 04:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 04:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 04:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 04:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 04:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 04:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -8.97%E -4.58%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 04:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.