Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants v Orix Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-06-04 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 45.03%2.22fair odd
EV -0.026%
Edge -0.011%
Kelly -0.021%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.37%45.12%44.88%47.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.072.072.2251.55%48.28%48.31%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 54.97%1.82fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.899%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.77%54.88%55.12%56.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.731.7961.35%57.88%57.80%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 45.03%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 54.97%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.221. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.220, with an expected value of -0.026%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.026%E -0.011%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.026%E -0.011%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 08:29
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.926%E -0.421%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-04 08:40
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 08:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.18%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-04 08:20
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.18%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.11%E -4.21%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 08:50
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.26%E -1.85%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 08:30
William Hill🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.53%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.81%E -2.18%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 08:50
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.81%E -2.18%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 08:30
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.81%E -2.18%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 08:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.01%E -3.51%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 08:20
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.01%E -3.51%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 08:50
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.11%E -4.21%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-04 08:19
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.21%E -4.91%K -12.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-04 08:50
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.21%E -4.91%K -12.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-04 08:50
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.31%E -5.64%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.88%E -2.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.46%E -3.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 08:29
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.16%E -1.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 08:28
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-04 08:49
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-04 07:50
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.01%E -3.51%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-04 08:10
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -8.13%E -3.99%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -3.81%E -2.18%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-04 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.93%E -4.97%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.61%E -0.899%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 08:49
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.93%E -4.97%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.61%E -0.899%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.93%E -4.97%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.61%E -0.899%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 08:49
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.93%E -4.97%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.61%E -0.899%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.93%E -4.97%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.61%E -0.899%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 08:50
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.93%E -4.97%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.61%E -0.899%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 08:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.93%E -4.97%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-04 07:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.93%E -4.97%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-04 07:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.93%E -4.97%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-04 08:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.93%E -4.97%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-04 07:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.93%E -4.97%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -10.40%E -6.38%K -16.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-04 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.66%EV -12.63%E -6.51%K -13.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.34%EV -10.40%E -6.38%K -16.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-04 08:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.