Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants v Orix Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-06-02 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 50.91%1.96fair odd
EV +5.90%
Edge +2.83%
Kelly +5.46%
Growth +0.322%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.11%50.77%51.13%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.872.0857.14%53.68%53.48%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 49.09%2.04fair odd
EV +0.140%
Edge +0.069%
Kelly +0.135%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%49.23%48.87%53.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.901.882.0456.18%52.52%53.19%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 50.91%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 49.09%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV +5.90%E +2.83%K +5.46%G +0.322%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -12.62%E -7.09%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 08:00
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.722%E -0.370%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.21%E -4.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.21%E -4.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 23:50
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 06:09
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 08:38
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.64%E -6.47%K -14.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-02 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.64%E -6.47%K -14.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-02 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.64%E -6.47%K -14.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-02 08:49
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.78%E -2.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.82%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 08:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 08:39
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 08:40
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.21%E -4.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 08:39
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.56%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.21%E -4.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-02 08:50
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -5.30%E -2.85%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -1.82%E -0.912%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-02 08:40
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -5.81%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV +0.140%E +0.069%K +0.135%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-02 08:40
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -5.81%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-01 23:48
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.83%E -3.73%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.82%E -0.912%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 08:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.83%E -3.73%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.81%E -1.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.83%E -3.73%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 08:30
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.34%E -4.03%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.82%E -0.912%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.34%E -4.03%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.82%E -0.912%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.85%E -4.34%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.30%E -1.67%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 08:39
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.36%E -4.64%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-02 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.36%E -4.64%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-02 08:40
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.36%E -4.64%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-02 08:40
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.36%E -4.64%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-02 08:30
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-02 08:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -8.70%E -4.68%K -10.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-02 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.