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Yomiuri Giants v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yomiuri Giants (Local)
Prediction 59.44%1.68fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.06%59.39%59.46%60.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.12%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 40.56%2.47fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%40.61%40.54%41.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.322.352.4047.17%43.16%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 59.44%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 40.56%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.64, with an expected value of -2.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-21 08:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-21 08:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.92%E -3.49%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-21 05:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-21 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-21 08:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 06:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-21 08:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-21 08:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 05:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 05:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-21 08:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 08:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-20 12:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 08:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-21 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-21 08:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-20 23:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 05:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-20 12:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-20 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-20 12:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 08:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 08:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-20 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-20 19:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-20 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-20 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-20 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-21 08:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-20 23:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -8.47%E -5.50%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.79%E -5.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-21 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.24%EV -9.66%E -6.35%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -14.01%E -6.61%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-21 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.