Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 05:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 51.20%1.95fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%51.39%51.10%52.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.831.9157.80%54.65%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 48.80%2.05fair odd
EV -0.938%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.911%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.14%48.61%48.90%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.931.932.0355.25%51.90%51.81%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 51.20%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 48.80%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.03, with an expected value of -0.938%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-21 17:24
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.75%E -4.68%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 04:54
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -3.23%E -1.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 04:50
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 21:49
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 04:09
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 04:40
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 04:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.01%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 14:39
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.01%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 04:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.01%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 04:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.01%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 04:35
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.01%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 04:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.01%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 04:34
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.01%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 04:35
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 14:39
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 04:05
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 14:40
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 14:43
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 17:20
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 01:37
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 15:09
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -0.938%E -0.462%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 04:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -7.33%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -0.938%E -0.462%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 04:55
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 04:40
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 14:39
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -9.89%E -5.62%K -13.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -10.21%E -5.55%K -12.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 04:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.40%E -5.94%K -13.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 15:54
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.40%E -5.94%K -13.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 04:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -11.42%E -6.60%K -15.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -11.67%E -6.45%K -14.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-22 04:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.