The School of Odds
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Yomiuri Giants v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 41.49%2.41fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.86%41.50%41.33%42.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.252.3546.51%44.12%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 58.51%1.71fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.74%58.50%58.67%59.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.24%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 41.49%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 58.51%. For Hanshin Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -2.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.49%E -1.06%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 14:40
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.49%E -1.06%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.05%E -2.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-28 03:10
William Hill🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.90%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 15:10
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.32%E -1.42%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.80%E -3.61%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 03:10
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.73%E -1.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.80%E -3.61%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.56%E -1.98%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.56%E -1.98%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.56%E -1.98%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 15:35
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.56%E -1.98%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 14:39
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.56%E -1.98%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 14:39
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.56%E -1.98%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 14:39
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.56%E -1.98%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.97%E -4.39%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 18:36
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 18:00
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 18:04
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 14:39
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 14:40
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.22%E -3.22%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.80%E -3.61%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 14:38
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.80%E -3.61%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 14:39
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.97%E -4.39%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 18:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.14%E -5.19%K -14.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.14%E -5.19%K -14.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.14%E -5.19%K -14.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 14:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.64%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.14%E -5.19%K -14.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -7.05%E -3.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 14:39
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.71%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.80%E -3.61%K -9.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 14:40
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.71%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.39%E -3.99%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 22:59
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.71%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.14%E -5.19%K -14.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 23:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -9.32%E -6.01%K -16.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.79%E -5.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -9.32%E -6.01%K -16.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 17:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.