Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 1.81
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 46.10%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 53.90%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.888%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.888%E -0.413%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 04:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.888%E -0.413%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 04:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -1.81%E -0.850%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -3.52%E -1.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-11 02:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.19%E -1.52%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.67%E -3.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 03:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.19%E -1.52%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 04:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.19%E -1.52%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 04:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.19%E -1.52%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 04:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.19%E -1.52%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 04:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.19%E -1.52%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 04:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.19%E -1.52%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 04:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.19%E -1.52%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 04:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.04%E -2.45%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.44%E -1.35%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-10 10:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.04%E -2.45%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.59%E -2.60%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.50%E -2.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.98%E -1.65%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.50%E -2.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.06%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 03:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.50%E -2.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.06%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 03:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.50%E -2.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 09:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.50%E -2.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 18:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.50%E -2.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.50%E -2.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 03:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -6.42%E -3.16%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.13%E -2.92%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.59%E -2.60%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.59%E -2.60%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.21%E -3.57%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 04:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.75%E -3.90%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.29%E -4.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-10 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.83%E -4.58%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-10 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -8.26%E -4.15%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -4.06%E -2.28%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 04:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -11.03%E -5.72%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -8.91%E -5.27%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 04:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%EV -12.87%E -6.81%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.24%EV -10.52%E -6.34%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-11 04:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.