Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 36.93%2.71fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.805%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.64%37.23%36.89%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.542.552.6543.48%39.41%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 63.07%1.59fair odd
EV +0.280%
Edge +0.176%
Kelly +0.474%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%62.77%63.11%64.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.501.5969.93%66.63%66.67%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 36.93%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 63.07%. For Hanshin Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.586. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.590, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.280%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -15.06%E -6.55%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV +0.280%E +0.176%K +0.474%G +0.001%6.4%2026-07-06 14:04
William Hill🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -8.41%E -3.39%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -0.982%E -0.625%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 05:04
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.52%E -3.89%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.24%E -1.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 08:45
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.52%E -3.89%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.24%E -1.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 08:44
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -5.09%E -1.98%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -2.87%E -1.87%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 08:35
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.13%E -0.805%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.13%E -0.805%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.13%E -0.805%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 08:50
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 08:29
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 08:45
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.77%E -3.16%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 08:55
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 08:45
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.20%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 08:54
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 08:45
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 08:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 08:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 08:45
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-07 08:29
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.83%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.03%E -4.05%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 08:30
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.03%E -4.05%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 08:45
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.03%E -4.05%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 08:45
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.13%E -0.805%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 08:39
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.87%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 08:55
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 08:45
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 08:44
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 08:44
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -7.92%E -5.42%K -17.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-07 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.83%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.55%E -5.90%K -19.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 08:50
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.18%E -6.38%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 08:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.13%EV -14.32%E -6.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.87%EV -9.81%E -6.86%K -22.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-07 08:42
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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