The School of Odds
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Yomiuri Giants v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-26 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 40.73%2.46fair odd
EV -0.214%
Edge -0.087%
Kelly -0.147%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.94%40.54%41.10%42.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.352.4546.51%42.81%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 59.27%1.69fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.47%59.46%58.90%61.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.591.6565.36%63.05%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 40.73%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 59.27%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.214%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.214%E -0.087%K -0.147%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.214%E -0.087%K -0.147%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 08:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -1.03%E -0.423%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -8.13%E -5.25%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -1.03%E -0.423%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -8.13%E -5.25%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 08:39
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -1.03%E -0.423%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -8.13%E -5.25%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 08:39
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -1.03%E -0.423%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -8.13%E -5.25%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -1.03%E -0.423%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -8.13%E -5.25%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 08:39
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -1.03%E -0.423%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -8.13%E -5.25%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 08:40
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.44%E -0.593%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:48
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 08:30
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.32%E -6.09%K -17.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 08:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.32%E -6.09%K -17.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 08:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.32%E -6.09%K -17.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 08:30
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 08:50
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 08:40
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 08:40
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 08:49
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-26 08:50
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 08:30
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 08:30
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 08:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 08:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 08:29
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 08:30
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 08:29
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 08:30
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 08:29
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 08:29
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 08:30
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 08:30
BetUS🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -9.17%E -4.11%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.43%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -8.72%E -5.66%K -16.15%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-26 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.