The School of Odds
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Yomiuri Giants v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-28 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 46.43%2.15fair odd
EV +0.293%
Edge +0.136%
Kelly +0.253%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%46.55%46.38%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.002.1652.36%49.60%50.00%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 53.57%1.87fair odd
EV -0.899%
Edge -0.486%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.80%53.45%53.62%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.771.771.8559.17%56.54%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 46.43%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 53.57%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.293%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV +0.293%E +0.136%K +0.253%G +0.001%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-28 08:40
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.65%E -2.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-28 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 08:39
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.26%E -3.57%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 08:49
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.26%E -3.57%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 08:49
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 08:49
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -2.49%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -9.47%E -5.60%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 08:39
William Hill🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.42%E -1.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.65%E -2.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.35%E -2.11%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 18:49
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.81%E -2.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.74%E -2.83%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.72%E -3.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 18:58
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.21%E -3.07%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 08:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 15:10
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 15:09
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 15:20
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.18%E -2.93%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 08:39
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.79%E -3.90%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 08:10
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 18:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.33%E -4.24%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 08:49
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.40%E -4.91%K -11.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 18:49
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.14%E -3.57%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.93%E -5.26%K -12.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-28 08:39
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.53%E -4.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.51%E -1.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -8.99%E -4.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -2.51%E -1.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -8.99%E -4.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -2.51%E -1.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -10.39%E -5.38%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -1.97%E -1.08%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 08:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -10.39%E -5.38%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -1.97%E -1.08%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 08:09
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -10.39%E -5.38%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -1.97%E -1.08%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 08:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -10.39%E -5.38%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -9.47%E -5.60%K -13.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-28 08:49
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -11.31%E -5.92%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -0.899%E -0.486%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 06:09
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.31%E -5.92%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 05:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.