The School of Odds
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Yomiuri Giants v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 48.41%2.07fair odd
EV -0.278%
Edge -0.135%
Kelly -0.262%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.35%48.52%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.951.942.0654.35%51.34%51.55%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 51.59%1.94fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.65%51.48%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.831.8857.14%54.85%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 48.41%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 51.59%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.06, with an expected value of -0.278%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -0.278%E -0.135%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -5.07%E -2.76%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-27 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -1.73%E -0.852%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -6.62%E -3.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 08:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -1.73%E -0.852%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -6.62%E -3.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 08:37
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -5.07%E -2.76%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 08:30
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.18%E -1.59%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.59%E -3.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 08:40
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.18%E -1.59%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.10%E -3.35%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 08:00
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.18%E -1.59%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.10%E -3.35%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 08:00
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.18%E -1.59%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.14%E -3.96%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 06:59
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.18%E -1.59%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.68%E -4.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 08:40
William Hill🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.56%E -2.46%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 03:50
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.01%E -1.60%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 02:30
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.52%E -1.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 02:30
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.59%E -3.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 08:50
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.72%E -5.55%K -12.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 06:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.09%E -3.14%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.59%E -3.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.09%E -3.14%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.59%E -3.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.09%E -3.14%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.59%E -3.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.09%E -3.14%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.59%E -3.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.09%E -3.14%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.59%E -3.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.57%E -3.40%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.56%E -2.46%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 02:28
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.54%E -3.95%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.59%E -3.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 02:29
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.54%E -3.95%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.59%E -3.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 08:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.54%E -3.95%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.59%E -3.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.54%E -3.95%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.59%E -3.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 02:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.54%E -3.95%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.14%E -3.96%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 02:29
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.54%E -3.95%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.14%E -3.96%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 03:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.54%E -3.95%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.14%E -3.96%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 03:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.54%E -3.95%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.14%E -3.96%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 03:29
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.14%E -3.96%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 08:29
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.99%E -4.78%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.04%E -2.17%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 08:49
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.48%E -5.07%K -10.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.03%EV -10.93%E -5.94%K -13.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.97%EV -8.68%E -4.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-27 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.