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Yomiuri Giants v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yomiuri Giants (Local)
Prediction 61.40%1.63fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%61.28%61.32%63.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.561.6168.97%64.61%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 38.60%2.59fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.724%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 2.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.69%38.72%38.68%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.402.6444.44%41.47%41.67%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 61.40%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 38.60%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV +1.91%E +0.724%K +1.17%G +0.022% | 3.2% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.791%E -0.308%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-21 04:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.791%E -0.308%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-21 04:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.56%E -0.613%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.72%E -1.08%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 04:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.49%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 04:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.75%E -6.63%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.49%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 04:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -4.65%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 04:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.38%E -1.50%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -5.04%E -2.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-21 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.22%E -2.71%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 04:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.29%E -4.83%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 04:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -2.99%E -1.89%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -6.20%E -2.55%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.61%E -2.30%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.58%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 03:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.99%E -1.89%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 03:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.99%E -1.89%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 04:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -1.15%E -0.715%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -8.13%E -3.41%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.13%E -3.41%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-21 03:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.13%E -3.41%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-21 03:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.13%E -3.41%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-21 03:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.15%E -0.715%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-20 20:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-21 04:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -2.99%E -1.89%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -10.06%E -4.32%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 04:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -3.61%E -2.30%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -10.06%E -4.32%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-21 04:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -3.61%E -2.30%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -10.06%E -4.32%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-21 04:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -3.61%E -2.30%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -10.06%E -4.32%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -3.61%E -2.30%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -10.06%E -4.32%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -3.61%E -2.30%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -10.06%E -4.32%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.38%E -1.50%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.21%E -4.88%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.92%EV -10.97%E -7.57%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 39.08%EV -12.76%E -5.64%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.61%E -2.30%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -13.14%E -5.84%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 19:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.