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Yomiuri Giants v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yomiuri Giants (Local)
Prediction 56.93%1.76fair odd
EV +0.202%
Edge +0.115%
Kelly +0.265%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.32%56.82%56.96%58.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.651.7663.69%60.31%60.61%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 43.07%2.32fair odd
EV -0.945%
Edge -0.411%
Kelly -0.727%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.71%43.18%43.04%46.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.182.202.3051.81%45.95%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 56.93%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 43.07%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.756. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.760, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.202%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV +0.202%E +0.115%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -13.43%E -6.68%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -0.937%E -0.539%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -0.937%E -0.539%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.937%E -0.539%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.41%E -3.44%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.56%E -4.55%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.56%E -4.55%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.67%E -1.18%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-18 08:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.56%E -4.55%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.78%E -2.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.56%E -4.55%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 08:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 05:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.56%E -4.55%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.56%E -4.55%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.49%E -3.31%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.53%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 06:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.945%E -0.411%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.06%E -3.67%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 07:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -6.63%E -4.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.96%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 04:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -6.63%E -4.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.96%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 04:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -6.63%E -4.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.96%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -6.63%E -4.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.96%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -6.63%E -4.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.96%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 05:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -6.63%E -4.04%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.96%E -1.78%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 07:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.10%E -1.38%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 05:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 04:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 04:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 04:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.91%E -5.57%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 08:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.91%E -5.57%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.25%E -2.39%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 05:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.99%EV -10.05%E -6.36%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.01%EV -16.88%E -8.75%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-18 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -10.62%E -6.76%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -12.57%E -6.19%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-18 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.