The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Yomiuri Giants v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 55.90%1.79fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.70%55.99%55.70%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.691.691.7562.89%59.20%59.17%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 44.10%2.27fair odd
EV +0.548%
Edge +0.240%
Kelly +0.428%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%44.01%44.30%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.132.102.2850.25%47.02%47.62%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 55.90%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 44.10%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.548%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -7.21%E -4.34%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.548%E +0.240%K +0.428%G +0.002%4.1%2026-06-19 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 04:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 04:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-20 04:40
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 04:50
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 14:57
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.56%E -6.60%K -17.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-20 04:49
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.86%E -1.77%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-20 04:40
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.86%E -1.77%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 04:49
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.73%E -1.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 04:49
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 04:40
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 04:49
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 04:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 04:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.63%E -2.63%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 04:48
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 04:49
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 04:37
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 04:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 04:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 04:49
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 04:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 04:49
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.76%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 04:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.27%E -3.98%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 04:09
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.27%E -3.98%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 04:09
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.27%E -3.98%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 04:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.27%E -3.98%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 04:09
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.27%E -3.98%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 04:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.27%E -3.98%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 04:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.88%E -5.45%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-20 04:49
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -10.48%E -5.16%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 04:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.59%EV -11.12%E -6.99%K -18.85%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.41%EV -12.24%E -6.15%K -12.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-20 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.