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Yomiuri Giants v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yomiuri Giants (Local)
Prediction 53.81%1.86fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.616%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%53.63%53.79%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.761.761.8860.61%56.86%56.82%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 46.19%2.16fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.977%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%46.37%46.21%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.022.022.1253.48%49.50%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 53.81%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 46.19%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV +1.16%E +0.616%K +1.32%G +0.015% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-17 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV +1.16%E +0.616%K +1.32%G +0.015% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -13.62%E -7.28%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 08:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -0.457%E -0.247%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -8.08%E -4.06%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 06:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.53%E -0.838%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 08:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.53%E -0.838%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.15%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 08:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -2.07%E -0.977%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-17 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 08:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 08:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 08:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.92%E -1.88%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.84%E -3.34%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 05:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.66%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.43%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.66%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.66%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.66%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-16 14:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.66%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.91%E -4.00%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.91%E -4.00%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-16 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.91%E -4.00%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-16 14:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.91%E -4.00%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-16 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.99%E -4.67%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.99%E -4.67%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-17 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.53%E -5.02%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.53%E -5.02%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -9.07%E -5.36%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.43%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 08:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.60%E -5.72%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.65%EV -11.22%E -6.80%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-17 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.