Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-06-19 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 57.70%1.73fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.783%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%57.74%57.64%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.631.7164.52%61.32%61.54%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 42.30%2.36fair odd
EV +1.53%
Edge +0.636%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%42.26%42.36%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.222.202.4048.54%45.02%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 57.70%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 42.30%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -5.95%E -3.65%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +1.53%E +0.636%K +1.09%G +0.017%3.0%2026-06-19 08:50
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -0.588%E -0.250%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-19 08:50
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.42%E -6.00%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.588%E -0.250%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 08:50
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 06:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-19 08:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-19 08:00
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.22%E -2.54%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 05:40
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.95%E -3.65%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 06:20
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 08:50
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.42%E -6.00%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 08:40
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.22%E -2.54%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.66%E -2.54%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -6.09%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 06:20
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 08:20
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.80%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 22:49
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 06:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 06:20
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 06:20
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 08:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 05:10
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 05:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 05:10
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 08:50
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 05:59
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.42%E -6.00%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-19 08:50
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.65%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.78%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.65%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.78%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.65%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.78%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.65%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.78%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.65%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.78%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -3.65%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -7.78%E -3.57%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 08:40
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.11%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-18 22:49
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.34%E -0.783%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 17:28
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -8.26%E -5.20%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-19 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.06%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -12.86%E -6.24%K -12.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-19 08:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.